{"id":6261,"date":"2011-06-13T04:09:33","date_gmt":"2011-06-13T09:09:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/akunq.net\/tr\/?p=6261"},"modified":"2011-06-13T04:09:33","modified_gmt":"2011-06-13T09:09:33","slug":"40-yil-sonra-nufusumuz-ne-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/2011\/06\/13\/40-yil-sonra-nufusumuz-ne-olacak\/","title":{"rendered":"40 Y\u0131l sonra n\u00fcfusumuz ne olacak?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><a href=\"http:\/\/tumgazeteler.com\/haberleri\/turkiye\/\"><strong>T\u00fcrkiye n\u00fcfusunun, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131, kaba do\u011fum h\u0131z\u0131 ve \u00f6len ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131ndaki seyir dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 100 milyona ula\u015fmas\u0131 pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">T\u00fcrkiye`de n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 1990-2008 d\u00f6neminde s\u00fcrekli azal\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi ve binde 17`den binde 11,7`ye kadar geriledi.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">N\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise binde 13,4`e y\u00fckseldi, ancak bu y\u00fckseli\u015f devaml\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermedi ve 2009`dan itibaren n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 yine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendine girdi.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumunun (<a href=\"http:\/\/tumgazeteler.com\/haberleri\/tuik\/\">T\u00dc\u0130K<\/a>) projeksiyona g\u00f6re, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle binde 12,8 olarak hesaplanan n\u00fcfusa art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131, 2019`a gelindi\u011finde ilk kez binde 10`un alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fecek. 2019`da T\u00fcrkiye n\u00fcfusu binde 9,9`luk art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131yla 80 milyon 983 bin ki\u015fiye ula\u015facak.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">N\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 2025 y\u0131l\u0131na gelindi\u011finde binde 7,7`ye gerileyecek. Bu tarihte T\u00fcrkiye n\u00fcfusu 85 milyon 407 bin olacak.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">A.A muhabirinin T\u00dc\u0130K`in 2011-2025 n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 projeksiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 baz alarak gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminlere g\u00f6re, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 2033 y\u0131l\u0131na gelindi\u011finde binde 4,8`e, 2046 y\u0131l\u0131na gelindi\u011finde de binde 0,1`e gerileyecek ve 2046`ta T\u00fcrkiye n\u00fcfusu 92 milyon 276 bin ki\u015fi olacak.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Benzer e\u011filim devam ederse, 2046`dan sonra ise n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fecek ve n\u00fcfus azalmaya ba\u015flayacak. N\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 2055`te binde eksi 3,2`ye, 2060 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise binde eksi 5`e gerileyecek. 2060 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye n\u00fcfusu neredeyse 30 y\u0131l \u00f6nceki seviyesine d\u00f6necek ve 88 milyon 870 bin ki\u015fi olacak.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><em>KADIN BA\u015eINA \u00c7OCUK SAYISI <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">T\u00dc\u0130K rakamlar\u0131na g\u00f6re, 1990 y\u0131l\u0131nda 2,93 olan toplam do\u011furganl\u0131k h\u0131z\u0131 (kad\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131na \u00e7ocuk say\u0131s\u0131) giderek azal\u0131yor. S\u00f6z konusu rakam 1998`de 2,46`ya, 2000`de 2,38`e, 2010`da 2,11`e indi. Kad\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131na \u00e7ocuk say\u0131s\u0131, bu y\u0131l ilk kez, n\u00fcfusun kendini yenilemesi i\u00e7in gerekli olan 2,1 \u00e7ocuk say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na inece\u011fi ve 2,09 \u00e7ocuk olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor. Uzmanlara g\u00f6re, bu \u00f6nemli bir e\u015fik de\u011fer. Kad\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131na \u00e7ocuk say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 2,1`in alt\u0131na inmesi, n\u00fcfusun belli bir zaman sonra (30-40 y\u0131l) dura\u011fanla\u015fmaya, ard\u0131ndan azalmaya ba\u015flamas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. T\u00dc\u0130K tahminlere g\u00f6re, bu rakam 2022`de 2`ye, 2025`de ise 1,97`ye d\u00fc\u015fecek.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong>KABA DO\u011eUM HIZI VE \u00d6L\u00dcMLER ARTIYOR <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">N\u00fcfusun gelecekte ne kadar olaca\u011f\u0131na dair \u00f6nemli hesaplama kriterlerden biri olan kaba do\u011fum h\u0131z\u0131 da giderek azal\u0131yor. 1990 y\u0131l\u0131nda binde 24,1 olan kaba do\u011fum h\u0131z\u0131, 2001 y\u0131l\u0131nda binde 20`ye, 2011 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise binde 17,3`e geriledi.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">T\u00dc\u0130K tahminlerine g\u00f6re s\u00f6z konusu rakam, 2018`de binde 15,8`e, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda binde 14,8`e ve 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda da binde 14,4`e d\u00fc\u015fecek. Kaba do\u011fum h\u0131z\u0131ndaki bu seyir 35 y\u0131lda neredeyse binde 10 puanl\u0131k bir azal\u0131\u015fa tekab\u00fcl edecek.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">\u00d6len ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131 da her y\u0131l art\u0131yor. 1990 y\u0131l\u0131nda 392 bin ki\u015fi olan \u00f6l\u00fcm say\u0131s\u0131, 2010 y\u0131l\u0131nda 459 bine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00d6len ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 2016 y\u0131l\u0131nda 500 binin, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda da 600 binin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><em>AA<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong><em>\u00a011.06.2011<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye n\u00fcfusunun, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131, kaba do\u011fum h\u0131z\u0131 ve \u00f6len ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131ndaki seyir dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 100 milyona ula\u015fmas\u0131 pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrkiye`de n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 1990-2008 d\u00f6neminde s\u00fcrekli azal\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi ve binde 17`den binde 11,7`ye kadar geriledi. N\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise binde 13,4`e y\u00fckseldi, ancak bu y\u00fckseli\u015f devaml\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermedi ve 2009`dan itibaren n\u00fcfus [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6261","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-haberler"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>40 Y\u0131l sonra n\u00fcfusumuz ne olacak? - Bati Ermenistan Ve Bati Ermenileri Sorunlari Ara\u015ftirmalar Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/2011\/06\/13\/40-yil-sonra-nufusumuz-ne-olacak\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"40 Y\u0131l sonra n\u00fcfusumuz ne olacak? - Bati Ermenistan Ve Bati Ermenileri Sorunlari Ara\u015ftirmalar Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"T\u00fcrkiye n\u00fcfusunun, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131, kaba do\u011fum h\u0131z\u0131 ve \u00f6len ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131ndaki seyir dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 100 milyona ula\u015fmas\u0131 pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrkiye`de n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 1990-2008 d\u00f6neminde s\u00fcrekli azal\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi ve binde 17`den binde 11,7`ye kadar geriledi. N\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 2008 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise binde 13,4`e y\u00fckseldi, ancak bu y\u00fckseli\u015f devaml\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermedi ve 2009`dan itibaren n\u00fcfus [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/2011\/06\/13\/40-yil-sonra-nufusumuz-ne-olacak\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Bati Ermenistan Ve Bati Ermenileri Sorunlari Ara\u015ftirmalar Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2011-06-13T09:09:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"kalem\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"kalem\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/2011\/06\/13\/40-yil-sonra-nufusumuz-ne-olacak\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/2011\/06\/13\/40-yil-sonra-nufusumuz-ne-olacak\/\",\"name\":\"40 Y\u0131l sonra n\u00fcfusumuz ne olacak? - Bati Ermenistan Ve Bati Ermenileri Sorunlari Ara\u015ftirmalar Merkezi\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2011-06-13T09:09:33+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/#\/schema\/person\/135e7923d1aeb8887890799619969a6c\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/2011\/06\/13\/40-yil-sonra-nufusumuz-ne-olacak\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/2011\/06\/13\/40-yil-sonra-nufusumuz-ne-olacak\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/2011\/06\/13\/40-yil-sonra-nufusumuz-ne-olacak\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"40 Y\u0131l sonra n\u00fcfusumuz ne olacak?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/\",\"name\":\"Bati Ermenistan Ve Bati Ermenileri Sorunlari Ara\u015ftirmalar Merkezi\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/#\/schema\/person\/135e7923d1aeb8887890799619969a6c\",\"name\":\"kalem\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/a06875e4b25feb5674296adf8e8a7ae1e587cebce2493fe63c456109967e27d3?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/a06875e4b25feb5674296adf8e8a7ae1e587cebce2493fe63c456109967e27d3?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"kalem\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/author\/kalem\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"40 Y\u0131l sonra n\u00fcfusumuz ne olacak? - Bati Ermenistan Ve Bati Ermenileri Sorunlari Ara\u015ftirmalar Merkezi","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/akunq.net\/turkish\/2011\/06\/13\/40-yil-sonra-nufusumuz-ne-olacak\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"40 Y\u0131l sonra n\u00fcfusumuz ne olacak? - Bati Ermenistan Ve Bati Ermenileri Sorunlari Ara\u015ftirmalar Merkezi","og_description":"T\u00fcrkiye n\u00fcfusunun, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131, kaba do\u011fum h\u0131z\u0131 ve \u00f6len ki\u015fi say\u0131s\u0131ndaki seyir dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda 100 milyona ula\u015fmas\u0131 pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. 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