{"id":67736,"date":"2022-03-30T03:07:11","date_gmt":"2022-03-30T08:07:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/akunq.net\/tr\/?p=67736"},"modified":"2022-03-30T03:07:11","modified_gmt":"2022-03-30T08:07:11","slug":"harvardli-ekonomist-uyardi-turkiye-20-yil-oncesinden-daha-kotu-bir-krize-gidebilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/akunq.net\/tr\/?p=67736","title":{"rendered":"Harvardl\u0131 ekonomist uyard\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye, 20 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinden daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir krize gidebilir"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu\u2019nun (IMF) eski ba\u015fekonomistlerinden Prof. Dr. Kenneth Rogoff, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 20 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinde ya\u015fanandan daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir ekonomik krize do\u011fru gidebilece\u011fini belirterek\u00a0\u201cFaiz art\u0131rmadan enflasyon a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekilmez\u201d\u00a0diye uyard\u0131.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019na g\u00f6re (T\u00dc\u0130K) t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u015fubatta ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 4,81, y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 54,44 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z sosyal bilimcilerden olu\u015fan Enflasyon Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Grubu\u2019ysa (ENAG) \u015fubatta t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 5,44 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, 12 ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131nsa y\u00fczde 123,8\u2019i buldu\u011funu\u00a0kaydetmi\u015fti.<\/a><\/p>\n

Ekonomistlere g\u00f6re martta enflasyon, Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131na olumsuz etkisi ve akaryak\u0131t zamlar\u0131yla y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 60\u2019\u0131 a\u015facak.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye enflasyonun bu kadar sert y\u00fckselmesinin sebeplerinden birisi de h\u00fck\u00fcmetin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son aylar\u0131nda \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131 kur krizi.<\/p>\n

Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Tayyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 eyl\u00fclden itibaren zorlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 faiz indirimleri nedeniyle dolar aral\u0131kta 18,4\u2019e kadar \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f ve kur korumal\u0131 mevduatlar\u0131n i\u015fleme al\u0131nmas\u0131yla bu konuda\u00a0\u2018zaman\u2019<\/strong>\u00a0kazan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u201cBiz\u00a0ekonominin kitab\u0131n\u0131 yazd\u0131k\u201d<\/strong>\u00a0diyen Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n tersine Harvard \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nden Prof. Dr. Kenneth Rogoff, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin faizi ciddi \u015fekilde art\u0131rmadan enflasyonu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilmesinin \u00e7ok zor oldu\u011funu belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnya\u2019dan Elif Karaca\u2019ya konu\u015fan<\/a> Rogoff, faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n daha erken y\u00fckseltilmemesi ve h\u00fck\u00fcmetin Merkez Bankas\u0131 y\u00f6neticilerini ard\u0131 ard\u0131na g\u00f6revden alarak kredibiliteye zarar vermesi nedeniyle, enflasyonun kontrol alt\u0131na al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekten sanc\u0131l\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

\u2018Daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir krize do\u011fru\u2019<\/h4>\n

Rogoff, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin yirmi y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinde ya\u015fanandan daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir ekonomik krize do\u011fru yol alabilece\u011fini, ama (Ukrayna) sava\u015fa ra\u011fmen k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve faiz ortam\u0131 uygunken ekonominin sert ini\u015f yapmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in hala zaman oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel ekonomi ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz ad\u0131mlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini de payla\u015fan Rogoff, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fck ticaret ortaklar\u0131nda ya\u015fanacak resesyonun (daralma) ihracat gelirleri ve cari denge i\u00e7in olumsuz olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ekonominin belirgin bir yava\u015flamadan ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse imkans\u0131z oldu\u011funu da ekledi.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.diken.com.tr\/harvardli-ekonomist-uyardi-turkiye-20-yil-oncesinden-daha-kotu-bir-krize-gidebilir\/\u00a0<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu\u2019nun (IMF) eski ba\u015fekonomistlerinden Prof. Dr. Kenneth Rogoff, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 20 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinde ya\u015fanandan daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir ekonomik krize do\u011fru gidebilece\u011fini belirterek\u00a0\u201cFaiz art\u0131rmadan enflasyon a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekilmez\u201d\u00a0diye uyard\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019na g\u00f6re (T\u00dc\u0130K) t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u015fubatta ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 4,81, y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 54,44 artt\u0131. Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z sosyal bilimcilerden olu\u015fan Enflasyon Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Grubu\u2019ysa (ENAG) \u015fubatta t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":67737,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-67736","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haberler"],"yoast_head":"\nHarvardl\u0131 ekonomist uyard\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye, 20 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinden daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir krize gidebilir - Bati Ermenistan Ve Bati Ermenileri Sorunlari Ara\u015ftirmalar Merkezi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/akunq.net\/tr\/?p=67736\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Harvardl\u0131 ekonomist uyard\u0131: T\u00fcrkiye, 20 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinden daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir krize gidebilir - Bati Ermenistan Ve Bati Ermenileri Sorunlari Ara\u015ftirmalar Merkezi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu\u2019nun (IMF) eski ba\u015fekonomistlerinden Prof. Dr. Kenneth Rogoff, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 20 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesinde ya\u015fanandan daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir ekonomik krize do\u011fru gidebilece\u011fini belirterek\u00a0\u201cFaiz art\u0131rmadan enflasyon a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekilmez\u201d\u00a0diye uyard\u0131. 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