{"id":39391,"date":"2016-04-07T01:42:14","date_gmt":"2016-04-07T06:42:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/akunq.net\/tr\/?p=39391"},"modified":"2016-04-07T01:42:14","modified_gmt":"2016-04-07T06:42:14","slug":"erdogan-kendisini-kurt-tuzagina-mi-dusurdu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/akunq.net\/tr\/?p=39391","title":{"rendered":"Erdo\u011fan kendisini K\u00fcrt tuza\u011f\u0131na m\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\u054c\u0565\u057b\u0565\u0583<\/a>Kadri G\u00fcrsel<\/b><\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan rejiminin PKK\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 2015\u2019in Temmuz ay\u0131nda ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n K\u00fcrt \u00e7o\u011funluklu G\u00fcneydo\u011fu kentlerinde yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131k\u0131m ve \u00f6l\u00fcm tablosu giderek a\u011f\u0131rla\u015f\u0131r ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bat\u0131s\u0131na da s\u0131\u00e7rama e\u011filimi ta\u015f\u0131rken, umumi manzara bir \u00e7\u0131kmaz\u0131 i\u015faret ediyor: \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir bir gelecekte ne PKK\u2019n\u0131n askeri yoldan tasfiyesi ne de bu \u00f6rg\u00fctle m\u00fczakere edilmi\u015f bir ate\u015fkese var\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. <\/i><\/b><\/p>\n

Bu \u00e7\u0131kmaz i\u00e7inde derinle\u015fen ve y\u00f6netilmesi giderek zorla\u015fan bir kriz durumu s\u00f6z konusu T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de… Dokuzuncu ay\u0131na giren sava\u015fta g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin giderek artan zayiat\u0131 bu krizin bir boyutu. Bu yaz\u0131n\u0131n yaz\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 3 Nisan\u2019dan geriye do\u011fru yedi g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde G\u00fcneydo\u011fu\u2019daki kent sava\u015flar\u0131nda \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclen asker ve polis g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fcc\u00fc mensubunun say\u0131s\u0131 21\u2019di. Bunlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu, PKK\u2019n\u0131n el yap\u0131m\u0131 patlay\u0131c\u0131larla tuzaklad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yol ve evlerde, bombal\u0131 ara\u00e7 sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda ya da keskin ni\u015fanc\u0131 ate\u015fiyle \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclm\u00fc\u015flerdi. Resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamalar dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana kaydedilen zayiat toplam\u0131 420\u2019yi ge\u00e7iyordu.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcvenlik g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin verdi\u011fi kay\u0131plarda herhangi bir azalma e\u011filiminin g\u00f6r\u00fclmemesi, bu sava\u015f\u0131n sahibi olan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan i\u00e7in elbette ki fazlas\u0131yla rahats\u0131z edici bir durum. Temmuz 2015\u2019te PKK\u2019yla \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 siyaseten tercih etti. Bunun sonucunda se\u00e7menin sorun alg\u0131s\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131k ara bir numaraya yerle\u015fen \u201ckaos ve ter\u00f6r tehdidi\u201dyle de ancak kendisinin ba\u015f edebilece\u011fine hedef kitlesini inand\u0131rarak partisi AKP\u2019ye 1 Kas\u0131m se\u00e7imlerini kazand\u0131rd\u0131. Art\u0131k vaat etti\u011fi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc sunmak zorunda ama zaman ge\u00e7erken ter\u00f6r tehdidinde bir azalma g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fcyor; g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin \u201cter\u00f6rle m\u00fccadele \u015fehitleri\u201dnin say\u0131s\u0131 da g\u00fcn ge\u00e7tik\u00e7e art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n bu meydan okumaya cevab\u0131, \u0130slam\u2019da \u015fehitli\u011fin anlam ve \u00f6nemine at\u0131flarda bulunarak halk\u0131n kay\u0131plar\u0131 kabullenmesine \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak oluyor. \u00d6l\u00fcmlerin neden oldu\u011fu ac\u0131lar\u0131 hafifletmek i\u00e7in de her f\u0131rsatta \u201cPKK\u2019ya misliyle zayiat verdirildi\u011fini\u201d vurguluyor.<\/p>\n

18 Mart\u2019ta Ankara\u2019da d\u00fczenlenen bir t\u00f6rende \u201coperasyonlar\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 temmuzdan bu yana 300\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde \u015fehit verildi\u011fini\u201d belirttikten sonra \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cAma ne kazand\u0131k biliyor musunuz? Bu topraklar\u0131n vatan\u0131m\u0131z oldu\u011funu dosta d\u00fc\u015fmana bir kez daha g\u00f6stermi\u015f olduk. Bu kazan\u00e7 var ya \u00f6yle b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kazan\u00e7t\u0131r ki ancak \u00c7anakkale Sava\u015f\u0131 ile mukayese edebiliriz\u201d. Ard\u0131ndan \u201c\u015fehitli\u011fin pek az faniye nasip olan bir \u015feref oldu\u011funu\u201d da ekledi.<\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan<\/a> 25 Mart\u2019ta da \u201cOperasyonlarda verdi\u011fimiz \u015fehit say\u0131s\u0131 300\u2019\u00fc ge\u00e7ti. Ter\u00f6ristlerin verdi\u011fi kay\u0131plar bunun en az 10 kat\u0131\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan PKK\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f ba\u011flam\u0131nda \u201c\u015fehitlik \u00f6vg\u00fcs\u00fc\u201dn\u00fc bir s\u00f6yleme d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 antla\u015fmalarla tan\u0131nm\u0131\u015f T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti\u2019nden bahsederken \u201cbir \u00fclkenin vatan olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u015fehit kan\u0131na ihtiya\u00e7 vard\u0131r\u201d gibi s\u00f6zler<\/a> sarf etmesi riskli; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc benzer bir bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7ok daha fazla kay\u0131p veren K\u00fcrt ayr\u0131l\u0131k\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan da savunulmaya uygun.<\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n \u00fcslubudur; zorlu bir hamleye kalk\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u201csonuna kadar gidece\u011fiz\u201d der. PKK\u2019yla sava\u015fta da \u201cSonuna kadar gidece\u011fiz\u201d diyor. Peki, h\u00fck\u00fcmet g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin PKK\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 \u201csonuna kadar gitmesi\u201d, ba\u015fka bir ifadeyle PKK\u2019y\u0131 tamamen saf d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rakarak yenmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fcd\u00fcr? \u00c7e\u00e7enistan ya da Sri Lanka\u2019daki gibi bir askeri \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm T\u00fcrkiye ve Ortado\u011fu \u015fartlar\u0131nda olanakl\u0131 m\u0131d\u0131r?<\/p>\n

Evet, a\u00e7\u0131k ara Ankara lehindeki g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda teorik planda bu m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. Ama sadece teorik planda.<\/p>\n

Sonuna kadar gidilmesi halinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ger\u00e7ek hayatta neye benzeyece\u011fini ise sekiz ay\u0131 geride b\u0131rakan sava\u015f\u0131n do\u011furdu\u011fu y\u0131k\u0131m ve \u00f6l\u00fcm tablosunu \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fc ald\u0131ktan sonra bunu be\u015fe, ona katlayarak g\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fczde canland\u0131rabiliriz: On binlere varan \u00f6l\u00fc say\u0131s\u0131, yak\u0131l\u0131p y\u0131k\u0131lan K\u00fcrt n\u00fcfuslu \u015fehir ve il\u00e7elere daha bir\u00e7o\u011funun eklenmesi, yerinden edilmi\u015f K\u00fcrt sivil say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n milyonu ge\u00e7mesi, T\u00fcrk \u00e7o\u011funluklu Bat\u0131 kentlerinde ter\u00f6rizm, T\u00fcrk-K\u00fcrt \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019den Avrupa\u2019ya do\u011fru m\u00fclteci hareketi ve turizm sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin a\u011f\u0131r darbe almas\u0131…<\/p>\n

Bu sava\u015f, sonunda pekala Suriye ve Irak\u2019a da s\u0131\u00e7rayabilir ve T\u00fcrkiye kendisini b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7lerle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya gelmi\u015f halde bulabilir.<\/p>\n

PKK b\u00f6lgede K\u00fcrt n\u00fcfusa sahip b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkelerde de\u011fi\u015fik \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclerde taban\u0131, \u00f6rg\u00fctlenmesi ve stratejik derinli\u011fi olan, \u00f6nemli g\u00fc\u00e7lerle belirli ittifak ili\u015fkileri geli\u015ftirmi\u015f ve hal-i haz\u0131rda insan kayna\u011f\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 da \u00e7ekmeyen bir \u00f6rg\u00fct. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla darbelere dayan\u0131kl\u0131.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcrt sava\u015f\u0131nda sonuna kadar gidilmesi, bir bak\u0131ma \u201cT\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin sonu\u201dna kadar gidilmesi olacakt\u0131r. Bu felaketten Erdo\u011fan rejiminin ayakta kalarak \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilir mi?<\/p>\n

Neticede, askeri \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm pratik olarak imkans\u0131z. Peki ya siyasi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm?<\/p>\n

B\u0131rak\u0131n siyasi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc, PKK\u2019yla bir ate\u015fkes olanakl\u0131 m\u0131?<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc \u015fartlarda ate\u015fkes de imkans\u0131z.<\/p>\n

\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bir ate\u015fkese ancak m\u00fczakere yoluyla var\u0131labilir ki Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n ana siyasi g\u00fcndemi \u201cba\u015fkanl\u0131k rejimi\u201d oldu\u011fu m\u00fcddet\u00e7e PKK\u2019yla a\u00e7\u0131k ya da gizli bir ate\u015fkes m\u00fczakeresi y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclmesi olanak d\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan 2016\u2019da otoriter bir ba\u015fkanl\u0131k rejimi \u00f6ng\u00f6ren anayasa tasla\u011f\u0131n\u0131 Meclis\u2019e getirtecek. Taslak Meclis\u2019ten ge\u00e7erse 2016\u2019da anayasa referandumu var; yoksa sonbaharda bir erken se\u00e7im Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n oyun plan\u0131n\u0131n do\u011fal se\u00e7ene\u011fi olacak. Bu a\u015famalardan ge\u00e7ilirken Erdo\u011fan PKK\u2019yla anla\u015famaz; anla\u015f\u0131rsa \u00e7ok ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu milliyet\u00e7i oylar\u0131 riske atar ve bunun yan\u0131 s\u0131ra K\u00fcrt partisi HDP\u2019yi olas\u0131 bir erken se\u00e7imde y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk baraj\u0131n alt\u0131nda b\u0131rakma plan\u0131 da suya d\u00fc\u015fer.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir s\u00fcre zarf\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fck riskler i\u00e7eren bir i\u00e7 sava\u015f ortam\u0131nda ya\u015famaya devam edece\u011fini kabul etmek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Ve bu sava\u015f devam ettik\u00e7e, sonunda mecbur kal\u0131nacak olan siyasi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn maliyeti de artacak… Erdo\u011fan asl\u0131nda diktat\u00f6rl\u00fck demek olan ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na kavu\u015fsun ya da kavu\u015fmas\u0131n, bu b\u00f6yle.<\/p>\n

PKK \u00e7\u0131tay\u0131 y\u00fckseltiyor. PKK\u2019n\u0131n askeri lideri Murat Karay\u0131lan<\/a> 29 Mart\u2019ta kendisine ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lere hitaben yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir telsiz mesaj\u0131nda sava\u015f\u0131 t\u0131rmand\u0131rma talimat\u0131 verirken, \u00d6calan\u2019\u0131n serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve K\u00fcrt \u00f6zerkli\u011fini \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn tek yolu olarak ileri s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Mart ortas\u0131nda The Times gazetesine bir deme\u00e7 veren PKK\u2019n\u0131n en \u00fcst siyasi \u00f6rg\u00fctlenmesi KCK\u2019n\u0131n E\u015f Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Cemil Bay\u0131k<\/a> temel hedeflerinin \u201cErdo\u011fan ve AKP\u2019yi \u00e7\u00f6kertmek oldu\u011funu\u201d s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n PKK\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131, ba\u015fkanl\u0131k g\u00fcndeminin arac\u0131 olarak kullanmas\u0131 \u00fclkeyi tarihsel bir tehdit ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rakt\u0131. Acilen yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken, sava\u015f ile ba\u015fkanl\u0131k g\u00fcndemi aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi koparmak ama bunun \u00f6n\u00fcndeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck engel de Erdo\u011fan.<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.al-monitor.com\/pulse\/tr\/originals\/2016\/04\/turkey-clashes-pkk-erdogan-kurdish-war-impasse.html#<\/i><\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kadri G\u00fcrsel Erdo\u011fan rejiminin PKK\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 2015\u2019in Temmuz ay\u0131nda ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n K\u00fcrt \u00e7o\u011funluklu G\u00fcneydo\u011fu kentlerinde yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131k\u0131m ve \u00f6l\u00fcm tablosu giderek a\u011f\u0131rla\u015f\u0131r ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bat\u0131s\u0131na da s\u0131\u00e7rama e\u011filimi ta\u015f\u0131rken, umumi manzara bir \u00e7\u0131kmaz\u0131 i\u015faret ediyor: \u00d6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir bir gelecekte ne PKK\u2019n\u0131n askeri yoldan tasfiyesi ne de bu \u00f6rg\u00fctle m\u00fczakere edilmi\u015f bir ate\u015fkese var\u0131lmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39391","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-haberler"],"yoast_head":"\nErdo\u011fan kendisini K\u00fcrt tuza\u011f\u0131na m\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc? 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